KGI Asia Commentary

2023.03.22 09:00

Hang Seng Index rose 258 points on Tuesday

The Hang Seng Index rose 258 points or 1.4% to 19,258 on Tuesday. HSTECH rose 94 points or 2.5% to 3,965 and HSCEI rose 80 points or 1.2% to 6,549. Daily market turnover was HK$102.4bn.

 

S&P 500 jumps more than 1%, as regional banks surge

Stocks rose on Tuesday, with traders turning optimistic about the outlook for the financial sector after U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen reassured against further banking crises. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 316.02 points, or 0.98%, to end at 32,560.60. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 gained 1.30% to end at 4,002.87. The Nasdaq Composite gained 1.58% to close at 11,860.11. Regional banks rallied on Tuesday, led by First Republic up nearly 30 percent after falling 47 percent the day before. The SPDR Regional Bank ETF (KRE) rose nearly 6%. Other regional banks including U.S. Bancorp (USB), Comerica Inc (CMA) and KeyCorp (KEY) were all sharply higher, with KeyCorp up more than 9%. Energy stocks, meanwhile, rose more than 3%, helped by gains in oil prices as investors’ concerns over a banking crisis that could spread globally eased, while shares of Exxon Mobil Corp rose. Wall Street is focusing on the path of monetary policy tightening announced by the Federal Reserve. Investors are now expecting a slower pace of Fed tightening given the banking crisis.

Yellen says U.S. government is willing to take further steps to guarantee bank deposits are safe

The steps we took were not focused on aiding specific banks or classes of banks. Our intervention was necessary to protect the broader U.S. banking system,” Yellen said.  “And similar actions could be warranted if smaller institutions suffer deposit runs that pose the risk of contagion.” Following the collapses of SVB and Signature, the Treasury, Federal Reserve and FDIC launched a two-pronged initiative to allow banks to meet their short-term borrowing needs. One is the Bank Term Funding Program, which provides one-year loans backed by safe securities at full face value, and the other expands the Fed's discount window. Yellen noted that regulators will study whether more oversight is needed to prevent similar situations in the future.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK$1.01bn on Tuesday, of which Tencent (700) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$1.2bn; followed by Wuxi bio (2269). HSCEI ETF (2828) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$1.02bn, followed by CSOP HS TECH (3033).

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At present, about 70% to 80% of the water in Hong Kong comes from Dongjiang by arrangement with the Guangdong authorities. 784 million cubic metres of Dongjiang water was imported in 2021/22. Meanwhile, the average daily consumption of potable water during 2021/22 being 2.89 million cubic metres, which is more than 1bn cubic metres. The water supply deficit means that the government may need to increase the quota. The total quota signed by the SAR government and Guangdong Province is 820 million cubic meters per year, and the quota utilization rate was relatively low before 2018, averaging 84% in 2006-17, before soaring to 99% in 2021. The current water supply agreement is for a period of 3 years from 2021 to 2023, and Guangdong Investment can benefit from the government's upcoming review of Hong Kong's water price. In February 2023, within the 70 large and medium-sized Chinese cities, the selling prices of new and second-hand commodity housing increased on a MoM basis in 55 and 44 of them, respectively, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed. The supportive policies for the real estate sector since last year is expected to provide support to the Company’s property investment and development business. On top of that, with China’s normalization after the relaxation of pandemic prevention measures, it is believed that GDI's department store, hotel and toll road business operations have room for recovery. Target price: $9; Stop- Loss price: $7.4.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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