Daily Investment Strategy

2023.04.26 09:00

Hang Seng Index fell 342 points on Tuesday

The Hang Seng Index fell 342 points or 1.7% to 19,617 on Tuesday. HSTECH fell 137 points or 3.5% to 3,824 and HSCEI fell 131 points or 2.0% to 6,601. Daily market turnover was HK$106.6bn.

 

U.S. stocks end lower on Tuesday as investors’ bank fears return

U.S. stocks fell on Tuesday as earnings from First Republic Bank reignited concerns about the broader industry. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 344.57 points, or 1.02%, to 33,530.83. The S&P 500 fell 1.58% to close at 4,071.63. The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.98% to close at 11,799.16. First Republic Bank reported mixed first-quarter results, showing that its deposits plunged 40.8% year-on-year, far exceeding market expectations. The bank plunged 49% to a record low. The uneasiness reappeared. The report soured sentiment toward regional banks, with the S&P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) falling more than 4%. Meanwhile, United Parcel Service (UPS) reported first-quarter results that missed revenue and profit expectations, and the delivery company warned that it expects sales to remain under pressure, sending its shares down nearly 10%. Shares of PepsiCo bucked the trend and rose more than 2%, after the company reported quarterly earnings that topped expectations, boosted by higher prices. 3M Co ended lower despite reporting earnings that beat Wall Street expectations and announcing plans to cut about 6,000 jobs. McDonald's and General Motors were also down, despite better-than-expected quarterly results. The mostly disappointing quarterly results sparked renewed volatility, sending the CBOE Volatility Index, known as the fear gauge, sharply higher.

 

Yellen warns the failure to raise debt ceiling would cause catastrophe

U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen said in a prepared speech on Tuesday that a U.S. debt default would trigger an "economic and financial catastrophe" and stressed that actions to raise or suspend the debt ceiling should be "unconditional." "In my assessment -- and that of economists across the board -- a default on our debt would produce an economic and financial catastrophe," Yellen said in remarks Tuesday. Among the potential consequences she listed were higher repayments on mortgages, auto loans and credit cards, while businesses could see credit markets deteriorate. The federal government also may not be able to distribute relief payments to millions of Americans, including those who rely on Social Security. "The solution is simple: Congress must vote to raise or suspend the debt limit. It should do so without conditions. And it should not wait until the last minute," In the long run, a default also permanently increases the cost of borrowing, making future investments potentially more expensive.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK$2.10bn on Tuesday, of which China Mobile (941) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.82bn; followed by HSCEI ETF (2828). SMIC (981) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.22bn, followed by BYD (1211).

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In recent years, the Group continued to promote business transformation in the Mainland market. The Group consolidated its sound market-leading position in the Hong Kong and Macau markets with the façade business taking the lead in terms of technology and growing rapidly. Meanwhile, the Group managed to preserve a healthy financial condition with increasingly reinforced anti-risk ability. The unaudited Group revenue for 1Q23 was approx. HKD21,639mn, while the aggregate amount of unaudited operating profit was approx. HKD3,398.6mn, rose 24.9% and 17% yoy respectively.  For the three months ended 31 March 2023, the Group recorded an accumulated new contract value of approximately HKD47.23bn, meanwhile the Group recorded a backlog of approx.  HKD318.46bn. As of 31 December 2022, the cash on hand amounted to HKD23,881mn, accounting for 10.4% of total assets. The net gearing ratio was controlled at 69.4. The Group has a successful business transformation in Mainland China since 2021. Meanwhile, the Group is expecting new opportunities in the Hong Kong Market, benefiting from the plans such as land supply, public housing construction, the new 10-year development plan for hospitals and even the longer-term plans for Lantau and the northern metropolitan area in the future. Target price: $12; Stop- Loss price: $9.

 

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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