KGI Asia Commentary

2023.04.14 09:00

HSI rose 34 points on Friday

The Hang Seng Index rose 34 points or 0.2% to 20,344 on Thursday. HSTECH fell 6 points or 0.2% to 4,159 and HSCEI rose 8 points or 0.1% to 6,875. Daily market turnover was HK$109.9bn.

 

U.S. stocks end higher on Thursday on expectations of muted rate hikes

The Dow ended higher on Thursday as big tech stocks led gains, PPI data showed further cooling in inflation and easing labor market tensions could encourage the Federal Reserve to slow rate hikes further. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 383 points, or 1.1%, the Nasdaq rose 2% and the S&P 500 rose 1.3%. Big technology stocks led the way with Alphabet, up more than 2 percent, and Apple, up more than 3 percent. The energy index ended slightly higher, but the market was under pressure due to concerns that the US economic recession will curb energy demand. On the earnings front, Delta Air Lines announced that its quarterly results were worse than expected, and the company's stock price fell slightly. Financials also led the broader market higher, as bank shares closed higher ahead of the quarterly earnings season, which begins on Friday.

Initial jobless claims rise more than expected

Weekly data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Thursday showed initial jobless claims of 239,000 for the week ended April 8, above market expectations of 232,000 and above the unrevised 228,000 in the previous week. This is the highest level since Jan. 15, 2022. Meanwhile, continuing claims for unemployment benefits fell by 13,000 to 1.881 million for the week ended April 1.

U.S PPI saw dramatic cooldown in March

The Producer Price Index (PPI) released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday showed that U.S. wholesale inflation continued to decline in March, with annualized price growth falling sharply to 2.7% from an upwardly revised 4.9%. That was the lowest annual level of the key inflation gauge since January 2021. On a monthly basis, producer prices fell 0.5% as commodity prices fell, particularly energy prices. Easing inflationary pressures underpin the possibility that the Federal Reserve may slow rate hikes further.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK$1.15bn on Thursday, of which China Mobile (857) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.45bn; followed by Wuxi Bio (2269). Tracker Fund (2800) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.58bn, followed by Sense Time (20).

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In 2022, the Group achieved a revenue of RMB 3,239bn, grew 23.9% yoy. This was primarily due to the increase in the prices of the Group’s most oil and gas products. The profit attributable to owners of the Company was RMB149bn, grew 62.1% yoy. The realised revenue of the Oil, Gas and New Energy segment for 2022 was RMB929bn, representing an increase of 35.0% yoy, which was primarily due to the increase in the prices and sales volumes of oil and gas products such as crude oil and natural gas.  The average realised crude oil price of the Group in 2022 was US$92.12 per barrel, representing an increase of 40.5% as compared with US$65.58 per barrel for last year. In 2022, the Oil, Gas and New Energy segment realised an operating profit of RMB165.748bn. In 2022, the capital expenditures of the Group amounted to RMB274bn, representing an increase of 9.2% yoy. It is expected that the Capex in 2023 will be reduced by RMB31bn. The Board recommends a final cash dividend of RMB0.22 per share for 2022 to all shareholders of the Company. The total amount of cash dividends reaches approximately RMB40.265bn. (The  final cash dividend in 2021 was RMB0.09622 per share.) In addition, the Company announced its first repurchase plan in history, which intends to repurchase no more than 10% of the total number of A shares and H shares. Both share repurchase plan and the increase of DPS became the revaluation catalyst for the share price. Target price: $5.3; Stop- Loss price: $4.2.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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