KGI Asia Commentary

2024.05.28 09:47

HSI rose 218 points on Monday

The Hang Seng Index rose 218 points or 1.2% to 18,827 on Monday. HSTECH rose 65 points or 1.7% to 3,864 and HSCEI rose 82 points or 1.3% to 6,688. Daily market turnover was HK$118.8bn.


Stoxx 600 edged up 0.3%

UK and US markets were closed for public holidays. European stocks rose after European Central Bank officials made dovish comments. The Stoxx 600 closed 0.3% higher, with autos and rate-sensitive utility stocks the best performers, while banks and technology stocks edged lower. Meanwhile, investors awaited US inflation data this week to get a better idea of the market outlook. Looking ahead to this week, investors are paying attention to consumer confidence data released on Tuesday and the April personal income and spending report released on Friday, as well as PCE data. Several companies are also due to report earnings, with results such as Costco Wholesale and Ulta Beauty expected to provide a clearer picture of consumer conditions.

 

ECB policymaker Olli Rehn says time is ripe for rate cut next week

Olli Rehn, a member of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank and Governor of the Bank of Finland, stressed in a speech on Monday that inflation in the euro zone is falling in a “sustained way.” “Thanks to this disinflationary process, inflation is converging to our 2% target in a sustained way, and the time is thus ripe in June to ease the monetary policy stance and start cutting rates,” Rehn said in a speech published on the website of the Finnish central bank.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK4.42bn on Monday, of which  China Mobile (941) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.77bn; followed by Xiaomi (1810). Wuxi Bio (2269) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.21bn, followed by ICBC (1398).

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The 2023 Coal Industry Development Annual Report released earlier by the China Coal Industry Association pointed out that the coal market supply and demand will maintain a basic balance in 2024.The medium and long-term contract system effectively plays the "ballast" and "stability" function for the coal market. According to China Shenhua's 2023 financial report, the company’s annual long-term contracts and monthly long-term contracts account for 57.5% and 24.4% respectively. At the same time, China Shenhua has an integrated business, and therefore its performance is more stable than its peers. China Shenhua achieved revenue of RMB87.647 billion in the first quarter, a slight increase of 0.7% yoy. Profit attributable to shareholders was RMB17.76bn, a decrease of 14.1%. The coal sector's net profit has declined in the first quarter of this year, but investors are now focusing on the industry's profit prospects for the rest of the year. With expectations of improving demand in the summer time, the sector may continue to have choppy rally in short-term. We have recommended China Shenhua many months ago, and would like to raise the target price to $39 and a stop-loss price of $34.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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