KGI Asia Commentary

2023.08.18 09:00

HSI fell 2 points on Thursday

The Hang Seng Index fell 2 points or 0.0% to 18,326 on Thursday. HSTECH rose 32 points or 0.8% to 4,158 and HSCEI rose 19 points or 0.3% to 6,292. Daily market turnover was HK$112.9bn.

Dow drops nearly 300 points as yields soar

Stocks fell for a third straight session on Thursday as investors digested the latest round of earnings and economic data, while interest rates jumped to new highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 290.91 points, or 0.84%, to end at 34,474.83. The S&P 500 fell 0.77% to close at 4,370.36. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 1.17% to close at 13316.93 points. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hit its highest level since October 2022 on Thursday. Interest rates continued to move higher after the minutes of the Federal Reserve's July meeting released on Wednesday showed the central bank remains concerned about upside risks to inflation. Shares fell more than 2% even as Walmart reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue for its fiscal second quarter. The company also raised its full-year forecast and highlighted strength in grocery and online sales. On a positive note, computer networking company Cisco Systems (CISCO) posted a better-than-expected quarterly earnings report, sending shares up more than 3%.

 

US weekly Initial Jobless Claims decline to 239K vs. 240K expected

Weekly data from the Labor Department on Thursday showed initial jobless claims of 239,000 for the week ended Aug. 12. The figure followed last week's 250,000 (revised from 248,000) and was slightly below the consensus estimate of 240,000. The resilience of the labor market raises the risk that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates again.

 

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK$9.9bn on Thursday, of which Tracker Fund (2800) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.65bn; followed by Tencent (700). Easy Buy (1797) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$39mn.

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Alibaba announced that its 1Q23 revenue was RMB234.15bn, an increase of 14% yoy, and its non-GAAP net income was RMB44.9bn, a yoy increase of 48%; adjusted EBITA increased by 32% yoy to RMB45.3bn. The yoy increase was mainly due to revenue growth and improved operating efficiency. All six major segment recorded improvement. Revenue from Taobao and Tmall Group increased by 12% yoy. In June 2023, Taobao app daily active users (DAU) increased by 6.5% yoy. Customer management revenue increased by 10% yoy, higher than market expectations, mainly due to the increased willingness to invest in merchant advertising and the increase in online physical goods GMV generated on Taobao and Tmall. EBITA was RMB49,319 million, up 9% yoy. During the quarter, Alibaba used USD3.1bn to repurchased its shares. There would be USD16.3 billion remained under the current share buyback program authorized by the Board, which is effective through March 2025. And the amount is around 6-7% of the current market cap. Overall, this quarter's performance is satisfactory. Meanwhile, share repurchases and the spin-off of its Cloud, Freshippo, and Cainiao businesses can continue to be the catalyst of Alibaba. Target price: $126; Stop- Loss price: $83.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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