Daily Investment Strategy

2024.10.02 10:00

Hang Seng Index rose 501 points on Monday

The Hang Seng Index closed at 21,133 points for the day, rose 501 points or 2.4%. The Hang Seng Technology Index reported at 4,751 points, up 298 points or 6.7%. The HSCEI Index rose 209 points, or 2.9%, to 7,509 points. The market turnover was HK$505.8billion.

 

S&P 500 closes lower as tensions rise in Middle East

The S&P 500 fell on Tuesday as investors grew increasingly worried about a wider conflict in the Middle East and fled risk assets after Iran fired several missiles at Israel. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 173 points, or 0.4%; the S&P 500 fell 1%; and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.5%. On the corporate front, CVS Health shares fell 2% after Reuters reported that the company was considering spinning off its retail and insurance divisions. Boeing rose 1% despite a Bloomberg report that it is considering selling at least $10 billion worth of stock to improve its balance sheet. Increasing concerns about a widening conflict in the Middle East pushed up oil prices, rising on worries about supply disruptions in the region. Military stocks also rallied sharply, with Lockheed Martin Corp, Northrop Grumman Corp. and Harris Technologies Corp edged higher.

 

Iran fires missiles at Israel

Oil prices soared after the Israel Defense Forces said Iran fired missiles into the country. The VIX index, known as Wall Street's fear indicator, also broke through 20 at an intraday high, highlighting the market's growing concerns. Meanwhile, there is more US economic data to study as investors look for more clues over how the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates further this year. Nonfarm payroll data for October will be released this Friday, and economists expect an increase of 144,000 jobs.

Recommended Stocks
Capture the moment and trade with KGI Asia's insights
Stocks
Recommended
Stocks
Recommended

China announced a flood of support measures last week, including the cut of RRR, interest rate, and cuts to the mortgage rate for existing housing. Amongst all the policies, the supportive policies for the stock market are big surprises for the market. Despite the rapid surge of the market, the 2025E PE of HSI cannot be considered overvalued, given the fact that it remains lower than the 10.6X PE during the market peak in 2023. Although the earnings of mainland companies in the third quarter may continue to be affected by the sluggish mainland economy, we believe that if the recent policies are successfully implemented, the market will continue to look forward to the potential improvement of returns. If investors want to grasp the potential uptrend of each sector at the same time, CSOP A50 ETF can be considered.  

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

The materials contained herein are provided by KGI Asia Limited ("KGI") for information only. While such materials are based on or derived from sources believed to be reliable, KGI makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to their accuracy or reliability. Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitute, or are to be construed as, an offer or invitation or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investments. KGI and its officers, employees, agents and affiliates may have interests in the securities or investments covered herein and accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or consequence whatsoever (whether direct or indirect) resulting from any use of or reliance by you on such materials.

Subscribe to KGI Market Insights Reports
Outperform market and make the best investment decisions