Daily Investment Strategy

2024.05.02 09:47

HSI rose 16 points on Wednesday

The Hang Seng Index rose 16 points or 0.1% to 17,763 on Wednesday. HSTECH fell 12 points or 0.3% to 3,700 and HSCEI fell 9 points or 0.1% to 6,273. Daily market turnover was HK$130.8bn.

 

U.S. market continue to be volatile on Tuesday and Wednesday

The U.S. Department of Labor announced on Tuesday that the employment cost index, a measure of wages and benefits, rose 1.2% in the first quarter, higher than economists' consensus forecast of 1%. After the data was released, U.S. Treasury yields soared, with the 2-year Treasury yield exceeding 5%. On Tuesday, the S&P 500 index fell 1.57% to close at 5,035.69 points; the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 570.17 points, or 1.49%, to close at 37,815.92 points. The Nasdaq fell 2.04% to 15,657.82 points. Meanwhile, for the next day, the market is moved by the FOMC result. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged but downplayed the possibility of raising interest rates. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 87.37 points to close at 37,903.29 points, an increase of 0.23%. The S&P 500 fell 0.34% to close at 5,018.39 points, and the Nasdaq fell 0.33% to close at 15,605.48 points. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) said in a statement that there "has been a lack of further progress toward the Committee's 2 percent inflation objective,". It also said it would start slowing down the pace of reducing its balance sheet next month. The plan, launched in 2022, aims to reduce the assets on the balance sheet. Beginning in June, the Fed will allow about $25 billion in Treasury securities to roll off its balance sheet a month, down from the current monthly pace of $60 billion.

 

Fed keeps interest rates steady but downplays chances of rate hike amid lack of further progress in disinflation

The Federal Reserve kept interest rates at a target range of 5.25%-5.50%, a move widely expected by the market. At a press conference following the monetary policy statement, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged that the recent unexpected rise in inflation data could delay the start of rate cuts, but also ruled out the prospect of resuming rate hikes. "It is unlikely that next policy rate move would be a hike," Powell said, although he acknowledged that progress on inflation has stalled in recent months.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK3.2bn on Tuesday, of which BOC (3988) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$1.06bn; followed by CCB (939). Meituan (3690) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.37bn, followed by Li Auto (2015).

Recommended Stocks
Capture the moment and trade with KGI Asia's insights
Stocks
Recommended
Stocks
Recommended

HSBC announced its first-quarter results as of the end of March this year. The group's first-quarter revenue increased by US$600 million to US$20.8 billion, an increase of 3%. Profit before tax was US$12.65 billion, down 1.8% year-on-year; profit after tax was US$10.837 billion, down 1.7% year-on-year. Profits were in line with expectations. The group announced a total distribution of US$8.8 billion, consisting of a first interim dividend for 2024 of $0.10 per share, a special dividend of $0.21 per share from the Canada sale proceeds, and a new share buy-back of up to $3bn, which is more than expected. The group expects the impact of the buybacks on the common equity tier 1 capital ratio to be 0.4 percentage points and plans to commence buybacks shortly after the annual general meeting in May. Target price: $71; Stop- Loss price: $63.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

The materials contained herein are provided by KGI Asia Limited ("KGI") for information only. While such materials are based on or derived from sources believed to be reliable, KGI makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to their accuracy or reliability. Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitute, or are to be construed as, an offer or invitation or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investments. KGI and its officers, employees, agents and affiliates may have interests in the securities or investments covered herein and accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or consequence whatsoever (whether direct or indirect) resulting from any use of or reliance by you on such materials.

Subscribe to KGI Market Insights Reports
Outperform market and make the best investment decisions