KGI Asia Commentary

2023.11.29 09:00

Hang Seng Index fell 170 points on Tuesday

The Hang Seng Index fell 170 points or 1.0% to 17,354 on Tuesday. HSTECH fell 31 points or 0.8% to 4,000 and HSCEI fell 68 points or 1.1% to 5,957. Daily market turnover was HK$95.0bn.

Dow closes higher as dovish comments from Fed official push down bond rates

The Dow closed higher on Tuesday, supported by a drop in U.S. Treasury yields as dovish comments from some Federal Reserve officials boosted bets on interest rate cuts. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 83.51 points, or 0.24%, to close at 35,416.98 points. The S&P 500 index edged up 0.10% to 4,554.89 points, and the technology-heavy Nasdaq index rose 0.29% to close at 14,281.76 points. U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he is "increasingly confident" that current policies will do a good job of slowing economic growth and bringing inflation back to the 2% target. Affected by this statement, U.S. Treasury bond yields fell. The 2-year U.S. Treasury bond yield fell nearly 12 basis points to around 4.74%, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield fell 6 basis points to 4.330%. Boeing boosted the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 1.4% on Tuesday, while Dow component retailers Nike and Walmart rose 0.7% and 1.2% respectively.

 

Retailers in focus after Cyber Monday sales hit record

Continuing signs that consumer confidence unexpectedly rose in November and consumers are still in good shape, while Cyber Monday sales hit a record high, boosted sentiment among retailers. Consumer spending on Cyber Monday, the largest online shopping day in the United States, is expected to soar to a record high of more than $12 billion, according to preliminary estimates from Reuters citing Adobe Digital Insights. Retailers like Walmart and Foot Locker are on the rise, while payments platform Affirm is up nearly 12% as a record number of holiday shoppers are likely to use "buy now, pay later" services.

 

U.S. Treasury yields fall as Fed officials boost hopes of rate cut

Earlier on Tuesday, U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller expressed confidence that policy is " currently well positioned" to slow economic growth and bring inflation down to 2%. He made the comments before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting to discuss interest rates on December 12-13. Markets generally expect the committee to keep interest rates unchanged.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net outflow of HK$3.05bn on Tuesday, of which Tencent (700) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.38bn; followed by SMIC (981). Tracker Fund (2800) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$2.45bn, followed by Meituan (3690).

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The Group’s 1H23/24revenue amounted to approx. RMB7,471.7mn, representing an increase of 20.9% yoy. The branded down apparel business remained the biggest revenue contributor of the Group, and recorded revenue of RMB4,939.7mn, accounting for 66.1% of total revenue, representing a yoy increase of 28.1%. The OEM management business recorded revenue of RMB2,042.9mn, accounting for 27.3% of total revenue, representing a yoy increase of 7.8%. The gross profit of the Group increased by 20.9% to RMB3,733.5mn in the first half of FY2023/24. GPM of the branded down apparel business decreased by 2.4ppts to 61.2%. Although the GPM of the branded down apparel business segment has declined, it is the largest business unit of the group and its GPM is higher than that of the OEM processing management business and diversified apparels business, the Group's overall GPM is the same as that of the same period last year, approx. 50.0%. Profit attributable to equity shareholders of the Company increased by 25.1% to RMB918.6mn. As a renowned operator in the PRC with down apparel brands, the Group has brands include Bosideng, Snow Flying, Bengen, etc. Coupled with the fact that cold winter can boost sales, the share price momentum of Bosideng may get stronger. Target price: $4; Stop- Loss price: $2.97.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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