Daily Investment Strategy

2024.10.15 10:00

Hang Seng Index fell 159 points on Tuesday

The Hang Seng Index closed at 21,092 points for the day, fell 159 points or 0.7%. The Hang Seng Technology Index reported at 4,668 points, fell 67 points or 1.4%. The HSCEI Index fell 40 points, or 0.5%, to 7,579 points. The market turnover was HK$277.0billion.

 

S&P 500 closes at record high

U.S. stocks ended higher on Monday, with the S&P 500 and Dow hitting new highs as investors bought technology stocks ahead of a busy week of corporate earnings reports. The S&P rose 0.77% to 5,859.85 points, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 201.36 points to 43,065.22 points. Both major stock indexes hit record highs and closed at record highs, with the Dow closing above the 43,000-point mark for the first time. The Nasdaq rose 0.87% to close at 18,502.69 points. McDonald's, UnitedHealth Group and Apple led the Dow higher. Technology stocks continued their gains and were the best-performing sector in the S&P 500. Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and Johnson & Johnson will report their latest results on Tuesday, while Morgan Stanley and United Airlines will report results on Wednesday. Walgreens Boots Alliance, Netflix and Procter & Gamble are also set to report earnings this week.

 

OPEC lowers forecast for global oil demand growth for third consecutive month

OPEC on Monday lowered its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024 and next year, its third consecutive cut. OPEC said in a monthly report that global oil demand will increase by 1.93 million barrels per day in 2024, down from the 2.03 million bpd increase expected last month. China is the main reason for the 2024 downgrade. OPEC lowered China's crude oil production forecast from 650,000 bpd to 580,000 bpd.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net outflow of HK12.1bn on Monday of which Alibaba (9988) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$1.55bn; followed by CCB (939). Tencent (700) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.77bn, followed by Kuaishou (1024).

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The Ministry of Finance (MOF) held a press conference last Saturday (12th) and stated that a package of targeted incremental policy measures would be launched in the near future, including support for local resolving hidden debts, supporting large state-owned commercial banks to replenish core tier-one capital. The CN banking sector react positively towards the news. To recap, Bank of China’s overall performance for the second quarter met expectations, achieving operating revenue of RMB317.9bn for 1H24, a yoy decline of 0.56%. Net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB118.6bn, down 1.24% yoy. The tier 1 core capital adequacy ratio was 12.03% for 1H24, up 1bp qoq, indicating stable capital levels. The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.24%, unchanged from the previous quarter. The interim dividend was RMB0.1208, with a payout ratio of approximately 30%. With the dividend yield of over 6%, the stock remains attractive in certain extent. Target price: $4.3; Stop- Loss price: $3.5.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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