Daily Investment Strategy

2023.08.16 09:00

HSI fell 192 point on Tuesday

The Hang Seng Index fell 192 points or 1.0% to 18,581 on Tuesday. HSTECH fell 29 points or 0.7% to 4,179 and HSCEI fell 57 points or 0.9% to 6,366. Daily market turnover was HK$81.9bn.

 

Dow slides more than 300 points, as banking sector tumble

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 361.24 points, or 1.02%, to end at 34,946.39, snapping a three-day winning streak. The S&P 500 fell 1.16% to close at 4,437.86. The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.14% to 13,631.05. U.S. financial stocks fell on Tuesday as Fitch warned it may have to downgrade the credit ratings of dozens of banks, including JPMorgan. Last week, Moody's downgraded 10 U.S. banks while putting other large institutions on watch for possible downgrades. Global investor sentiment also weakened after China released disappointing economic data and the People's Bank of China unexpectedly cut interest rates. China's July industrial output rose 3.7% year-on-year, worse than expected. Retail sales growth also came in below expectations, and the People's Bank of China cut interest rates by 15 basis points to 2.5% from 2.65%. But that failed to assuage investors' concerns, and instead heightened concern about China's struggling real estate market. On the data front, U.S. retail sales in July came in above expectations, pointing to a stronger-than-expected consumer performance. Retail sales increased by 0.7% month-on-month, which was expected to increase by 0.4%.

 

Fitch warns of possible rating downgrade for dozens of banks

Fitch Ratings analyst Chris Wolfe told CNBC on Tuesday that Fitch could be forced to downgrade a number of U.S. banks, including JPMorgan, if the health of the banking sector deteriorates further. The ratings agency downgraded its assessment of the health of the banking sector in June, a move that analyst Chris Wolfe said went largely unnoticed because it did not trigger a downgrade of the bank. Wolfe told CNBC that another downgrade to A+ from AA- would force the agency to reassess the ratings of the more than 70 U.S. banks it covers.“If we were to move it to A+, then that would recalibrate all our financial measures and would probably translate into negative rating actions,” Wolfe said.

 

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK$6.7bn on Tuesday, of which Tencent (2800) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.70bn; followed by China Mobile (941). CNOOC (883) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.22bn, followed by Kuaishou (1024).

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Operating revenues of the Company in 1H23 amounted to RMB260.7bn, representing an increase of 7.6% yoy. Of which, service revenues grew 6.6% yoy to RMB236.0bn, remaining above the industry’s growth rate. EBITDA grew 5% yoy, and amounted to RMB73.3bn.  Revenue from Industrial Digitalization service reached RMB68.8bn, representing an increase of 16.7% yoy, maintaining its rapid growth trend. Revenue from China Telecom Cloud reached RMB45.9bn, representing a yoy growth of 63.4%. The management expects cloud revenue growth to accelerate in the second half of the year, and maintains the target of a full-year revenue scale of RMB100bn. China Telecom declared an interim dividend of RMB0.1432 per share based on its 65% payout ratio, and that it will rise to over 70% by the end of 2023. Overall, the interim results are in line with expectations, and the dividend payout ratio is attractive, thus the investment value is still there. Target price: $5; Stop- Loss price: $3.6.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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