KGI Asia Commentary

2023.06.19 09:00

HSI rose 211 points on Friday

Last Friday, the Hang Seng Index opened 86 points higher at 19,915 points, the daily increase expanded to 211 points or 1.1% to 20,040 point; the China Enterprises Index rose 60 points or 0.9% to 6,833 point; the Hang Seng Technology Index rose 35 points or 0.8%, to 4,233 point. The market turnover was HK$175.5 bn. China Communications Construction (1800) and China Railway Construction (1186) rose 4.5% and 5.5% respectively. BeiGene (6160) rebounded 6.1% after its stock price plummeted on Thursday.

 

Highly leveraged companies need to face the challenge of high interest rates

 

The three major U.S. stock indexes all recorded losses last Friday. The Dow Jones index fell 109 points, or 0.32%, to 34,299 point; the Nasdaq index fell 93 points, or 0.68%, to 13,680 point; the S&P 500 index fell 16 points, a decrease of 0.37%, to 4,410 point. In terms of weekly performance, all three major indexes closed up.

 

The Federal Reserve skipped raising interest rates but signaled that it will still raise interest rates twice this year. In addition, some investors expect the Fed to be close to finish raising interest rates. In addition, Powell also pointed out that it will still take several years to cut interest rates, said that companies with relatively high leverage in the United States will be tested by the painful reality of the high interest rates. Businesses need to adapt to operate in a market with a dwindling money supply.

 

Intensive introduction of automobile consumption subsidies

Following the release of the "Retail, Industrial and Fixed Asset Investment" data, the National Development and Reform Commission stated in a press conference last Friday that it will expand consumption, accelerate the implementation of major infrastructure projects, promote modern industries, reform key areas to attract foreign investment, expand youth employment channels and increase the income of urban and rural residents, and agricultural product supply guarantee to promote economic development. Among the above six directions, automobile consumption subsidies have been intensively introduced recently, including local measures such as the issuance of automobile consumption subsidies of RMB 2,000 to 4,000 in Shenyang and the maximum subsidy of RMB 33,000 for consumers in Shenzhen.

 

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net outflow of HK$ 9.23 bn on Friday, of which PetroChina (857) had the largest net inflow of HK$125 mn; followed by Kuaishou (1024). Tracker Fund (2800) recorded the largest net outflow of HK$5.03 bn; followed by Hang Seng China Enterprises (2828).

Recommended Stocks
Capture the moment and trade with KGI Asia's insights
Stocks
Recommended
Stocks
Recommended

Topsports is the largest sportswear retailer in China, with major brands including Nike and Adidas. Recently, Nike ranked first in the quarterly survey of sports brands in Greater China. Also, and the impact of Adidas' "Xinjiang Cotton" incident is gradually fading. In addition, the sportswear industry in the mainland is expected to regain momentum, and Topsports can be the first to benefit. Judging from Topsports’s annual report, its business has indeed been affected by the epidemic. But, as the trend indicated, the overall structural adjustment of retail stores was more concentrated in the first half of last year, and the curve gradually eased and trended down in the second half. Meanwhile, the selling area of each store continued to climb upward, and the reach of each store extended. As the epidemic passes, Topsports business is expected to normalize.  Target price: $9.3; Stop- Loss price: $6.8.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

The materials contained herein are provided by KGI Asia Limited ("KGI") for information only. While such materials are based on or derived from sources believed to be reliable, KGI makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to their accuracy or reliability. Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitute, or are to be construed as, an offer or invitation or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investments. KGI and its officers, employees, agents and affiliates may have interests in the securities or investments covered herein and accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or consequence whatsoever (whether direct or indirect) resulting from any use of or reliance by you on such materials.