Daily Investment Strategy

2023.06.30 09:00

Hang Seng Index fell 237 points on Thursday

The Hang Seng Index fell 237 points or 1.2% to 18,934 on Thursday. HSTECH fell 68 points or 1.7% to 3,933 and HSCEI fell 94 points or 1.5% to 6,426. Daily market turnover was HK$82.17bn.

 

Banks passed the stress test, the Dow closed up more than 200 points

The Dow rose on Thursday as big banks passed the Federal Reserve's annual stress test and an upward revision to GDP data eased some fears on Wall Street about a recession. Boosted by major banking stocks, the Dow rose 269.76 points, or 0.8%, to close at 34,122.42. The S&P 500 gained 0.45% to close at 4,396.44, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite closed flat at 13,591.33. JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs rose more than 3 percent each, while Wells Fargo rose 4.5 percent. All 23 institutions participating in the annual stress test are well capitalized and can withstand a severe recession, the Fed said. Other financial stocks hit by this year's banking crisis also rose, including Charles Schwab, Western Alliance and Zions Bancorporation. A string of positive economic data points to the economy's resilience despite fears of a looming recession. These included a sharp upward revision to first-quarter GDP and weekly jobless claims falling to the lowest level in many months.

 

Weekly U.S. jobless claims post biggest drop in 20 months

A separate economic report on Thursday showed job cuts were far lower than expected. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell by 26,000 to a seasonally adjusted 239,000 for the week ended June 24, lower than expected 265,000. This is the largest drop since October 2021.

First-quarter GDP revised up to 2%

Economic growth in the first quarter was actually 2%, up from a previously reported 1.3%. The upward revision helped dampen widespread expectations that the U.S. is heading for a recession. The change was largely due to stronger-than-expected consumer spending and exports, according to a summary from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Consumer spending, as measured by personal consumption expenditures, rose 4.2%, the fastest quarterly pace since the second quarter of 2021. The personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy prices rose by 4.9%, a downward revision of 0.1 percentage points.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net outflow of HK$3.58bn on Thursday, of which China Mobile (941) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.24bn; followed by ICBC (1398). Tracker Fund (2800) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$3.3bn, followed by HSCEI ETF (2828).

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Operating revenues of the Company amounted to RMB481.4bn, representing an increase of 9.5% over last year. EBITDA amounted to RMB130.4bn, increased 5.2% yoy. Net profit amounted to RMB27.6bn, increased 6.3% yoy. In 2022, mobile communications service revenues amounted to RMB191.0bn, representing an increase of 3.7% over the last year, maintaining favorable growth. The penetration rate of 5G package subscribers reached 68.5% and mobile ARPU grew 0.4% yoy reaching RMB45.2. The Company is moving forward with its “Cloudification and Digital Transformation” strategy, stepping up the construction of intelligent and comprehensive digital information infrastructure, and actively building the industrial ecologies of 5G, cloud computing, cybersecurity, artificial intelligence and industrial intelligent manufacturing. The company expects to record a 70% growth of the Cloud revenue. That say, the Company has stable core business, coupled with emerging businesses that are bringing in new growth potentials. The full year dividend of 2022 amounts to RMB0.196 per share, represents the payout ratio to be at 65% of the profit attributable to equity holders of the Company for the year. Management is confident it can post double-digit profit growth this year, implying a higher dividend per share for the year. Target price: $5.2; Stop- Loss price: $3.3.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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