KGI Asia Commentary

2024.06.05 09:47

Hang Seng Index rose 41 points on Tuesday

The Hang Seng Index rose 41 points or 0.2% to 18,444 on Tuesday. HSTECH rose 12 points or 0.3% to 3,796 and HSCEI rose 22 points or 0.3% to 6,554. Daily market turnover was HK$116.2bn.

Dow closes higher as job openings drop sharply, boosting hopes of rate cut

 

The Dow closed higher on Tuesday as job openings fell to a three-year low, signaling slowing economic growth but also boosting hopes the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 140 points, or 0.4%, the S&P 500 rose 0.1% and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.2%. Intel Corp. unveiled a slew of artificial intelligence chips, a day after similar announcements from Nvidia Corp. and Advanced Micro Devices Inc., as the chipmaker looks to close a yawning gap with rivals. But some on Wall Street believe Intel may need further upgrades to meaningfully compete with rivals. Tesla's stock price closed lower after Reuters reported on Tuesday, citing data from the China Passenger Car Association, that Tesla's sales of electric vehicles manufactured in China fell 6.6% year-on-year to 72,573 units in May. British retailer Bath & Body Works Inc.'s weak second-quarter guidance overshadowed better-than-expected first-quarter results, sending the company's shares down nearly 13%. OPEC+ is set to increase supply later this year, and falling oil prices continue to weigh on energy stocks. Among the energy sectors, Halliburton Co. (HAL), Baker Hughes Co. (BKR) and Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) were among the biggest decliners.

 

Job openings fall to lowest point in three years

 

U.S. job openings fell to their lowest level in more than three years in April, consistent with a gradual slowdown in the labor market. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday showed that the number of available positions fell to 8.06 million from a downwardly revised 8.36 million last month. The figure was lower than all estimates by economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK8.82bn on Wednesday, of which China Mobile (941) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$1.0bn; followed by Yankuang (1171). MMG (1208) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.17bn, followed by Li Auto (2015).

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The market expects total revenue in the first quarter to increase by 17.7% yoy to RMB68.9bn, and adjusted net profit to increase by 5.3% yoy to RMB5.8bn. The market expects local core business revenue to be RMB50.74bn, an increase of 18.3% yoy, and operating profit is expected to be RMB8.44bn, an increase of 10.6% yoy. The market expects new business to increase by 15.8% yoy to RMB18.22bn, with an estimated operating loss of RMB3.23bn. Meituan stated that it will make strategic adjustments to new businesses this year, improve its business model, and aim to significantly reduce operating losses. It plans to increase product mark- up ratio, reduce subsidies, and focus on the long-term growth of natural retention rate. For the coming result announcement, the market will keep an eye on management's guidance for 2Q24, customer demand for core local services, competitive landscape, new business loss reduction progress, and its overseas expansion plans, etc.. Target price: $143; Stop- Loss price: $104.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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