KGI Asia Commentary

2024.07.05 09:47

Hang Seng Index rose 49 points on Thursday

The Hang Seng Index rose 49 points or 0.3% to 18,028 on Thursday. HSTECH rose 22 points or 0.6% to 3,649 and HSCEI rose 15 points or 0.2% to 6,470. Daily market turnover was HK$90.79bn.

 

S&P futures little changed as investors await jobs data

S&P 500 futures were near flat Thursday night as investors prepared for Friday's closely watched jobs report. Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.1%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 19 points, or 0.1%. Meanwhile, traders are preparing for the release of widely watched employment data on Friday. Economists expect non-farm payroll to increase by 200,000 in June and the unemployment rate to stabilize at 4%. Friday's jobs report should help clarify a clearer picture of the labor market. Data released by ADP on Wednesday showed private employment growth in June was lower than expected, while weekly jobless claims were higher than economists expected. In addition, a reading of the service sector from the Institute for Supply Management unexpectedly showed a contraction.

 

Lagarde says ECB needs more data to dispel inflation concerns

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said the European Central Bank needs to further ensure that inflation is heading back to its 2% target before further lowering interest rates. Lagarde said on Thursday that while disinflation in the euro zone continues, officials must remain vigilant. She said a particular focus was on rising service prices, driven by rising wages.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK0.94bn on Thursday, of which ICBC (1398) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.73bn; followed by CCB (939). Tracker Fund (2800) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$1.06bn, followed by Meituan (3690).

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At the beginning of the year, a survey was conducted to gather data on when Chinese residents plan to travel this year. The results showed that the majority of residents chose the summer vacation as their preferred travel period. Currently, the travel boom in the market shows no signs of cooling down, and it is expected that the demand may further increase during the summer vacation. Trip.com's 1Q24 revenue and profit both exceeded expectations. Domestic hotel and air bookings grew by over 20% yoy; outbound hotel and air bookings increased by over 100% yoy; and total revenue from the company's global OTA platform, Trip.com, grew by approximately 80% yoy. Management remains confident in the travel momentum for the summer holiday and beyond, expecting significant growth in the outbound travel segment driven by the continued recovery of flight capacity and the resolution of visa backlogs. During summer holiday, tourism sector may outperform the market. Target price: $464; Stop- Loss price: $343.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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