KGI Asia Commentary

2024.07.04 09:47

Hang Seng Index rose 209 points on Wednesday

The Hang Seng Index rose 209 points or 1.18% to 17,978 on Wednesday. HSTECH rose 87 points or 2.48% to 3,626 and HSCEI rose 80 points or 1.27% to 6,455. Daily market turnover was HK$113.6bn.

 

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close at record highs

The S&P 500 index closed at another record high on Wednesday as a series of weak economic data boosted hopes for a sooner rate cut. The S&P 500 rose 0.5% to close at 5,534.63, a record high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 24 points, or 0.1%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.8%, closing at a new high. Tesla's continued gains after a better-than-expected delivery report also boosted the broader market. The electric car maker's shares rose 6.5% on Wednesday, marking their seventh consecutive session of gains. The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that crude oil inventories fell by 12.2 million barrels in the week ended June 28, much larger than the expected decrease of about 400,000 barrels. Supported by rising oil prices, energy stocks showed a rising trend on Wednesday. Shares of beer and wine company Constellation Brands fell more than 3% after reporting lower-than-expected first-quarter sales.

 

Fed says it won't cut rates until ‘greater confidence’ inflation is moving to 2% goal

Minutes of the meeting released on Wednesday showed that "participants affirmed that additional favorable data were required to give them greater confidence that inflation was moving sustainably toward 2 percent. " At the same time, before the non-farm payrolls report was released, the ADP employment report showed, private employment increased by 150k in June, lower than the revised 157k in May, consistent with the slowdown in the labor market momentum.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK3.6bn on Wednesday, of which CCB (939) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.83bn; followed by ICBC (1398). Tencent (700) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.43bn, followed by Sensetime (20).

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At the beginning of the year, a survey was conducted to gather data on when Chinese residents plan to travel this year. The results showed that the majority of residents chose the summer vacation as their preferred travel period. Currently, the travel boom in the market shows no signs of cooling down, and it is expected that the demand may further increase during the summer vacation. As of March 31, 2024, H World’s worldwide hotel network in operation totaled 9,817 hotels and 955,657 rooms, including 9,684 hotels from Legacy-Huazhu and 133 hotels from DH. Revenue increased 17.8% yoy to RMB5.3bn in the 1Q24, surpassing the revenue guidance previously announced of a 12% to 16% increase. Adjusted EBITDA of the Group was RMB1.4bn in 1Q24, compared with RMB1.0bn in 1Q23 and RMB1.1bn in the previous quarter. During summer holiday, tourism sector may outperform the market. Target price: $29; Stop- Loss price: $24.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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