KGI Asia Commentary

2024.01.24 09:00

HSI rose 392 points on Tuesday

The Hang Seng Index rose 392 points or 2.6% to 15,353 on Tuesday. HSTECH rose 112 points or 3.7% to 3,147 and HSCEI rose 138 points or 2.8% to 5,140. Daily market turnover was HK$124.0bn.

 

S&P 500 closes at record high, tech stocks drive gains

The S&P 500 rose 0.3% to close at a record high of 4,864.11 points, and the Nasdaq rose 0.4% to close at a record high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 95 points, or 0.3%. 3M Co. fell about 11%, leading industrial stocks lower, after the manufacturing giant reported lower-than-expected full-year results that overshadowed third-quarter results that topped Wall Street analysts. Lockheed Martin shares fell 4% after the company reported lower fourth-quarter sales, hurt by weakness in its rotary and mission systems business and missiles and fire control units. United Airlines rose more than 5% after better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, boosted by strong holiday-related travel demand. The strong quarterly results helped offset guidance for a larger-than-expected first-quarter loss due to the grounding of Boeing's 737 Max 9. General Electric shares fell 1% after the industrial conglomerate reported disappointing first-quarter results, although fourth-quarter earnings beat estimates and its jet engine business saw strong demand for parts and services. Elsewhere, telecom giant Verizon Communications rose more than 6% after the company unveiled a higher-than-expected annual earnings forecast range, saying it was "well-positioned" for growth in 2024.

 

Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose 4.84% on Tuesday

It is believed that the Chinese government is considering launching a huge stimulus package to support the weak market. After that, investor sentiment toward China picked up. Wednesday's trading activity will provide markets with a better idea of whether the stimulus is short-lived or more permanent. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose 4.84% on Tuesday.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net outflow of HK$5.32bn on Tuesday, of which HKEX (388) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.10bn; followed by Wuxi Bio (2269). Tracker Fund (2800) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$2.63bn, followed by CSOP HS TECH (3033).

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The negative factors that dragged NetEase's share price have been partially eliminated. The consultation period for the "Measures for the Administration of Online Games (Draft for Solicitation of Opinions)" ended on Jan22. Senior game industry insiders told China media that the Measures would still be introduced, but will definitely take into account the views and suggestions of the industry, and will retain more flexibility and room for maneuver. The released version will therefore certainly be different from the draft for consultation, report said. To recap, the fundamental of Netease in recent quarter result is actually solid.  NetEase's net revenue increased 11.6% yoy to RMB27.3bn in 3Q23. Revenue from games and related value-added services was RMB21.8bn, a yoy increase of 16.5%. Gross profit margin and operating profit margin increased steadily. Non-GAAP net profit was RMB8.64bn, a yoy increase of 15.7%. NetEase's gaming division performed well in the third quarter, with gross profit margin reaching 69%, thanks to contributions from Justice mobile. Target price: $183; Stop-Loss price: $131.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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