Daily Investment Strategy

2023.12.11 09:00

Hang Seng Index fell 11 points on Friday

Hong Kong stocks opened slightly higher by 27 points on Friday, opening at 16,373 points. After rising as much as 118 points, the Hang Seng Index fell 11 points, or 0.1%, to 16,334 points throughout the day. The H-Share Index fell 18 points, or 0.3%, to 5,598 points; the Hang Seng Technology Index fell 14 points, or 0.4%, to 3,706 points. The market's full-day turnover was HK$88.3 billion. In terms of blue chips, Sunny Optical (2382) performed best, with its share price rising 2.1% to HK$68.2; on the other hand, Chow Tai Fook (1929) fell 5.2% to HK$10.3; and mainland property stocks were under pressure, with China Resources Land (1109) , Longfor (960) share prices fell 4.6% and 1.6% respectively.

U.S. nonfarm payrolls data beat market expectations

The three major U.S. stock indexes all closed higher. The Dow Jones index rose 130 points, or 0.36%, to 36,245 points; the Nasdaq index rose 64 points, or 0.45%, to 14,404 points; the S&P 500 index rose 19 points, or 14,404 points. It was 0.41% and reported 4604.37 points. All major stock indexes posted gains for a sixth consecutive week on Wednesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose only 2.87 points from last Friday's closing price, with a cumulative gain of less than 0.01% over the week. The S&P 500 rose 0.21% and the Nasdaq rose 0.69%.

 

In terms of economic data, the non-farm payrolls data released on Friday was inconsistent with the slowdown in the job market seen earlier. The non-farm payrolls in November were higher than market expectations of 180,000 and the previous value of 150,000, to 190,000. At the same time, with the labor force participation rate remaining flat, the unemployment rate dropped 0.2 percentage points from the previous value to 3.7%. This employment data showed that 30,000 people were driven by the return of auto workers to work. Consumer confidence was also much better than market expectations, rising to 69.4, and inflation expectations dropped sharply from 4.5% last month to 3.1%.

 

China's November inflation was negative 0.5%, while core inflation was positive 0.6%

On Saturday, the National Bureau of Statistics announced that the consumer price index in November fell by 0.5% year-on-year. The negative value was recorded for the second consecutive month, which believed will once again arouse concerns in the market. But in fact, it has been pointed out earlier, last year's high pig prices continue to affect inflation data. For  core inflation, it increased by 0.6% year-on-year, and cumulative core inflation has increased by 0.7% for eight consecutive months. November will be the peak of the high base of pig prices, and the base effect will gradually fade away. By then, China's inflation data may gradually pick up.

 

The net inflow of Hong Kong Stock Connect on Friday was HK 3.369 bn. Among them, Tracker Fund (2800) had the largest inflow, reaching HK$ 1.79 bn; followed by Meituan (3690). Xiaomi (1810) recorded the largest net outflow of HK$416 mn; followed by China Construction Bank (939).

Recommended Stocks
Capture the moment and trade with KGI Asia's insights
Stocks
Recommended
Stocks
Recommended

Kuaishou’s revenue increased by 20.8% to RMB27.9bn in 3Q23, primarily attributable to the growth of online marketing services, e-commerce business and live streaming business. During the period, revenue from online marketing services reached RMB14.7bn, increased by 26.7% yoy, and accounting for 52.6% of the total revenue. The number of active marketing customers increased by more than 140% yoy. Live streaming revenue grew by 8.6% yoy to RMB9.7bn. Revenue from our other services increased by 36.6% to RMB3.5bn, primarily due to the growth of its e-commerce business, represented by the growth in e-commerce GMV. GPM improved from 3Q22’s 46.3% to 3Q23’s 51.7%. On a non-IFRS basis, Kuaishou reported an adjusted profit of RMB3.17bn in 3Q23, compared to the RMB672mn loss in 3Q22. The profitability improvement was bolstered by its robust revenue growth across each business segments, as well as the improved operating efficiency.  Target price: $69; Stop- Loss price: $49.4.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

The materials contained herein are provided by KGI Asia Limited ("KGI") for information only. While such materials are based on or derived from sources believed to be reliable, KGI makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to their accuracy or reliability. Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitute, or are to be construed as, an offer or invitation or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investments. KGI and its officers, employees, agents and affiliates may have interests in the securities or investments covered herein and accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or consequence whatsoever (whether direct or indirect) resulting from any use of or reliance by you on such materials.

Subscribe to KGI Market Insights Reports
Outperform market and make the best investment decisions