KGI Asia Commentary

2023.08.21 09:00

HSI fell 376 points on Friday

The Hang Seng Index opened 117 points lower on Friday, opening at 18,209 points, and the full-day decline extended to 376 points, or 2.05%, to close at 17,951 points; the China Enterprises Index fell 145 points, or 2.3%, to 6,147 points; the Hang Seng Technology Index fell 151 points, or 3.6% at 4,007 points. The market turnover was HK$106.4 bn. Evergrande Property (6666) and Evergrande Automobile (708) fell 9.1% and 16% respectively. Longfor (960) fell 3.8% to HK$16.54 after the results announcement.

 

U.S. consumer sentiment forecasts continue to fall

The Dow rose 25.83 points, or 0.07%, to 34,501 point ; the Nasdaq fell 26 points, or 0.20%, to 13,291 point; the S&P 500 fell 0.65 point, or 0.01%, to 4,370 point. All three major U.S. stock indexes recorded losses this week. The Dow fell 2.2% for the week, its biggest weekly drop since March. In fact, on Thursday, the Dow closed below its 50-day moving average for the first time since June 1, which was seen by investors as a bearish signal. The market has pointed out that investors are reflecting on the optimism since July. Although the economy will still grow, the market is concerned about the continued high yields of long-term government bonds. Plus, the minutes of the Federal Reserve's July monetary policy meeting released on Wednesday dampened hopes that the Fed had finished raising interest rates.

 

With 10-year Treasury yields at levels not seen since the financial crisis, cooling risk appetite weighed on growth stocks. In the coming week, the game about the Fed's policy outlook will continue to affect the market trend, and whether the uncertainty disturbance can be weakened will become a point of view.

 

The People's Bank of China and multiple departments discuss the follow-up financial stimulus plan

Last Friday, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration of Financial Supervision and the China Securities Regulatory Commission held a video conference, including exchanges, domestic banks and China Life. The meeting mainly studied the implementation of financial support for the development of the real economy and the prevention and resolution of financial risks. Such as increasing the intensity of loans and adjusting and optimizing the real estate credit policy and so on.

 

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net outflow of HK$ 4.09 bn on Friday, of which CNOOC (883) had the largest inflow of HK$457 mn; followed by Tencent Holdings (0700). Tracker Fund (2800) recorded the largest net outflow of HK$4.89 bn; followed by Hang Seng China Enterprises (2828).

 

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Operating revenues of the Company in 1H23 amounted to RMB260.7bn, representing an increase of 7.6% yoy. Of which, service revenues grew 6.6% yoy to RMB236.0bn, remaining above the industry’s growth rate. EBITDA grew 5% yoy, and amounted to RMB73.3bn.  Revenue from Industrial Digitalization service reached RMB68.8bn, representing an increase of 16.7% yoy, maintaining its rapid growth trend. Revenue from China Telecom Cloud reached RMB45.9bn, representing a yoy growth of 63.4%. The management expects cloud revenue growth to accelerate in the second half of the year, and maintains the target of a full-year revenue scale of RMB100bn. China Telecom declared an interim dividend of RMB0.1432 per share based on its 65% payout ratio, and that it will rise to over 70% by the end of 2023. Overall, the interim results are in line with expectations, and the dividend payout ratio is attractive, thus the investment value is still there. Target price: $5; Stop- Loss price: $3.6.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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