KGI Asia Commentary

2024.01.18 09:00

Hang Seng Index fell 589 points on Wednesday

The Hang Seng Index fell 589 points or 3.7% to 15,276 on Wednesday. HSTECH fell 165 points or 5.0% to 3,160 and HSCEI fell 210 points or 3.9% to 5,132. Daily market turnover was HK$130.5bn.

 

Dow closes lower as solid retail sales undermine expectations for Fed rate cut in March

Stocks fell on Wednesday as U.S. Treasury yields rose after stronger-than-expected economic data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 94.45 points, or 0.25%, to close at 37,266.67 points. This marked the third consecutive day of losses for the index. The S&P 500 fell 0.56% to close at 4,739.21 points, and the Nasdaq fell 0.59% to close at 14,855.62 points. Charles Schwab shares fell 1.3% after the company reported mixed quarterly results. Walgreens and Caterpillar both fell about 3%, leading the Dow lower. Meanwhile, Boeing Co. rose 1.3%, becoming one of the biggest gainers on the Dow, after the company's recent sharp losses. Tesla shares fell 2% after it slashed prices for its Model Y in Europe, raising new concerns about profit margin pressure after several price cuts last year.

 

Retail sales data for December came in stronger-than-expected

U.S. Treasury yields continued to climb higher, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose further above 4% to hit highest level this year after U.S. retail sales rose 0.6% in the month of December, topping expectations for 0.4%. Signs of a stronger consumption, which makes up about two-thirds of economic growth, suggesting the economy remains in good share dented expectations for a rate cut as soon as March. So far, traders see a roughly 57% chance that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates in March, lower than earlier expectations.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK$5.93bn on Wednesday, of which Tracker Fund (2800) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$1.15bn; followed by CCB (939). X-Peng (9868) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.33bn, followed by SMIC (981). 

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Operating revenue of China Mobile was RMB775.6bn, up by 7.2% yoy; of which, revenue from telecommunications services was RMB664.6bn, up by 7.2% yoy. EBITDA was RMB268.5bn, up by 6.7% yoy. As of November, the total number of mobile business customers was 990.9mn, with a net increase of 171,000 customers during the month, and a cumulative net increase of 15.9mn customers this year. The number of 5G package customers was 779mn, with a net increase of 20mn in November. In the first three quarters of the year, DICT revenue grew by 26.4% yoy to RMB86.6bn. With a continuously rising share of revenue contribution from digital transformation, the revenue structure of China Mobile has become more balanced and robust, and the momentum of sustainable growth has been enhanced. Having a moderate growth in capital expenditure, its net profit margin is expected to rise steadily. China Mobile is a pick with high growth visibility and attractive dividends. Target price: $74; Stop- Loss price: $56.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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