KGI Asia Commentary

2024.06.25 09:47

Hang Seng Index closed flat on Monday

HSI stayed still at 18,027. HSTI dropped 23 pts or 0.6% to 3,677. HSCEI gained 1 pts or 0.0% to 6,441. Market turnover reached $96.47 billion.

 

Dow closes more than 250 points higher as investors snap up energy and bank stocks

The Dow Jones industrial average rose on Monday as investors dumped large technology stocks and turned to other sectors such as banks and energy. The Dow Jones index rose 260.88 points to close at 39,411.21 points, an increase of 0.67%. The S&P 500 fell 0.31% to 5,447.87 points, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 1.09% to 17,496.82 points. It was the Nasdaq's worst day since April. The information technology sector was the biggest decliner in the S&P 500 on the day, falling more than 2%. Meanwhile, energy stocks rose 2.7% and financial and utility stocks gained about 1%. Dow component JPMorgan Chase rose 1.3%, while Goldman Sachs and Chevron both rose more than 2%. Crude oil prices were steady on Monday. The previous week had seen a positive trend in crude oil prices amid signs of increased demand for refined products in the United States, the world's largest oil consumer. WTI and Brent both rose about 3% last week after data from the Energy Information Administration showed a sharp decline in U.S. crude inventories, suggesting demand remains healthy as the summer driving season enters its peak. The deteriorating geopolitical situation also provided support for oil prices.

 

PCE inflation due this week

This week the market is mainly focused on the PCE inflation data to be released on Friday. The data is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. The data is expected to show inflation cooled slightly in May but remained well above the Fed's 2% annual target. At the same time, a Bloomberg survey showed that as many as 52% of respondents believed that S&P was overvalued. Additionally, 49% of respondents said they expect the next S&P 500 10% correction to start sometimes in 2024.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK2.11bn on Monday, of which CCB (939) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.51bn; followed by ICBC (1398). Tracker Fund (2800) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$1.59bn, followed by Meituan (3690).

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Recently, President Xi held a symposium with enterprises, experts and scholars, and mentioned deepening the reform of the electric power system, which reflects the high-level attention attached to the reform. The market generally expects that the Third Plenary Session in July this year will bring more details to the reform of the electric power system. Investors can pay more attention to new energy concepts, including China Power. At the end of 2023, the Group's total combined installed capacity was 45,018.8 MW, of which the combined installed capacity of clean energy was 33,938.8 MW, accounting for 75.39% of the total combined installed capacity. In May this year, China Power's consolidated total electricity sales was 11.4 million MWh, a year-on-year increase of 28.11%; in the first five months, the total electricity sales amounted to 52.4 million MWh, a year-on-year increase of 32.7%. Among which, hydropower, wind power, and photovoltaic power generation increases 85.2%, 52.6%, and 92.8% respectively. In addition, China Power can also benefit from the limited rise in coal prices. Looking back on 2023, the Group's thermal power segment successfully turned losses into profits, with profits recording a significant year-on-year increase of approximately RMB2.71 bn. Supported by a number of positive factors, the upside potential of power stocks remains. Target price: $4.3; Stop- Loss price: $3.6

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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