Daily Investment Strategy

2023.01.31 09:00

Hang Seng Index fell 619 points on Monday

The Hang Seng Index opened 109 points lower yesterday and then continued to decline. HSI closed at a near day-low level and closed at 22,069, down 619 points or 2.7%. HSTECH closed at 4,580, down 233 points or 4.8%. HSCEI fell 277 points, or 3.6%, to 7,496. Market turnover was HK203.3bn. Chinese tech stocks led the market down today, Alibaba (9988) and Tencent (0700) fell 7.1% and 6.7% respectively. The market concerned that Baidu (9888) may launch an AI chat robot service next month. The stock price once rose 3.1%, but still fell 0.6% when market closed.

 

EU economic figure in Jan beats consensus

EU economic outlook seems bottoming out after a sharp drop in energy costs. The European Commission announced that the economic sentiment index rose from 97.1 to 99.9 in January, beating market expectations to 97 and hitting a seven-month high since June 2022. In January, the industrial prosperity index was revised up from -0.6 to +1.3, beating market expectations and rising to -0.9 as well. On top of the decreased energy cost, China, as the largest trading partner of the EU, have rebounded in demand that benefit to European industrial producers.

The three major U.S. stock indexes fell on Monday, with the Nasdaq down 227 points or 1.96% to 11,393, the S&P 500 down 52 points or 1.30% to 4,017. The Dow Jones down 260 points or 0.77% to 33,717 point.

 

More China cities lowered interest rates to accelerate market recovery

A Chinese research institution announced that during the Chinese New Year period, the transaction volume of new homes in many focused cities did not perform as expected. Today, 2 more cities launched a stimulus policy. Zhengzhou local banks first-home loan interest rate has dropped to 3.8%, and the loan rate of Tianjin has dropped to 3.9%. It is expected that interest rates in various cities will continue to be adjusted downwards to accelerate the recovery of the real estate market.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net outflow of HK$3.7bn on Monday, of which Meituan (3690) had the largest net inflow of HK$839mn, followed by China Mobile (0941). Tencent (0700) recorded the largest net outflow of HK$3.69bn; followed by HKEX (0388).

 

Southbound trading of Hong Kong Stock Connect will resume today.

Recommended Stocks
Capture the moment and trade with KGI Asia's insights
Stocks
Recommended
Stocks
Recommended

The border between Hong Kong and the mainland is set to fully reopen very soon, with the PCR test requirement to be lifted "in a matter of days". It is believed that the number of people coming to Hong Kong will increase, benefitting landlords. Link REIT earlier announced the acquisition of two commercial properties in Singapore: interests in Jurong Point and Thomson Plaza for SGD 2.2 billion. The acquisition price of the project is at a discount of 6.1% to the project valuation, and the acquisition will increase the ratio of Link REIT's overseas projects to the overall asset portfolio to 11%. The acquisition can create new growth driver for Link REIT's long-term development. In August 2022, the Group won the tender for the acquisition of a parcel of commercial-use land off Anderson Road, Kwun Tong. That investment demonstrates its long-term commitment to Hong Kong’s development, when the Group is also looking for the growth in overseas market. As Hong Kong is about to abolish its PCR test requirement and quota system rule for cross-border travelers, it is believed to bring positive impacts to Link REIT. Target price: $76; Stop- Loss price: $58

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

The materials contained herein are provided by KGI Asia Limited ("KGI") for information only. While such materials are based on or derived from sources believed to be reliable, KGI makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to their accuracy or reliability. Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitute, or are to be construed as, an offer or invitation or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investments. KGI and its officers, employees, agents and affiliates may have interests in the securities or investments covered herein and accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or consequence whatsoever (whether direct or indirect) resulting from any use of or reliance by you on such materials.

Subscribe to KGI Market Insights Reports
Outperform market and make the best investment decisions