Daily Investment Strategy

2023.02.24 09:00

Hang Seng Index fell 72 points on Thursday

The Hang Seng Index fell 72 points or 0.4% to 20,351 on Thursday. HSTECH rose 48 points or 1.2% to 4,149 and HSCEI rose 27 points or 0.4% to 6,859. Daily market turnover was HK$102.6bn.

 

Stocks close higher Thursday

The U.S. stock market was volatile on Thursday, and investors are still worried about the path of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike. The S&P500 index rose 0.53%to close at 4,012.32 points, ending a four -day decline. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 108.82 points to close at 33,153.91 points, an increase of 0.33%. The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.72% at 11,590.40 points. Nvidia issued an optimistic fiscal season guideline that the company's quarterly financial report revenue and profits exceeded expectations, promoting its stock price to rise by more than 14%. The expected acceleration of artificial intelligence applications will stimulate the demand for Nvidia chips. Wall Street is optimistic about this chip manufacturer and reverse their decision to remain on the sidelines. At the same time, Alibaba's announcement of the third fiscal quarterly profit and revenue are better than expected, but its core Chinese market GMV (key performance indicators to measure sales) decreased slightly year -on -year. Moderna reported fourth-quarter results that missed, because the cost increase and the decline in the demand for COVID-19 vaccine drag their performance. Its stock price fell 6.7%. Lucid predicts that the output of 2023 is much lower than the analyst's expectations, and said that due to weak demand, orders in the fourth quarter fell sharply, and the stock price fell more than 18%. EBAY also faces pressure. After the announcement of the fourth quarter, it closed down 8%, and the annual guidance was lower than Wall Street expectations. Overall, as the market is worried that the Fed will be more hawkish, the overall market sentiment remain weak.

 

Consumer expenditure is lower than the previously reported; the inflation was hotter in the fourth quarter

Measurement of economic indicators -the growth rate of GDP (GDP) has fallen from the initial 2.9%. As the main engine of the economy, the annual growth rate of consumption expenditure is 1.4%, not the initially announced 2.1%. This explains the decline in GDP growth to a large extent. The PCE price index increased by 3.7%, higher than the previous estimated 3.2%. Excluding food and energy, the core PCE price index rose by 4.3%, an upward revision of 0.4 percentage point. The PCE price indexes are the Fed's preferred inflation measures. Second -hand cars and new cars and non -profit hospital service costs are the main factor for adjusting the price upward.

Data released by the US Department of Labor on Thursday showed that the first-time unemployment claims last week decreased by 3,000 to 192,000. This number is less than the expected 200,000, and the number of the previous week was adjusted by 1,000 people from 194,000 to 195,000.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK$0.83bn on Thursday, of which Tencent (700) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.71bn; followed by Great Wall Motor (2333). HSCEI ETF (2828) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.36bn, followed by Tracker Fund (2800).

Recommended Stocks
Capture the moment and trade with KGI Asia's insights
Stocks
Recommended
Stocks
Recommended

Property sector performed well recently. Mainland China has launched several measures to support the real estate market, and therefore indirectly benefits the electric appliance industry in case the policy can really help the property industry turnaround. Haier has a global portfolio of home appliance brands consisting of Haier, Casarte, Leader, GE Appliances, Candy, Fisher & Paykel and AQUA. The Haier brand refrigeration appliances and laundry appliances also ranked first among major home appliance brands in the world in terms of retail volume for almost one and a half decade. Haier Smart Home's 3Q revenue was RMB62.891bn, increased 8.6% yoy; shareholders' net profit was RMB3.717bn, increased 20.3% yoy. In the first three quarters, revenue amounted to RMB184.749bn, an increase of 8.9%; net profit was RMB11.6bn, increased 17.3% yoy.  Haier Smart Home previously can still maintain moderate profit growth in the context of economic downturn, showing its operational resilience. With the current supportive policies for the property market, the investment value of Haier Smart Home further increases. Target price: $36; Stop- Loss price: $28.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

The materials contained herein are provided by KGI Asia Limited ("KGI") for information only. While such materials are based on or derived from sources believed to be reliable, KGI makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to their accuracy or reliability. Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitute, or are to be construed as, an offer or invitation or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investments. KGI and its officers, employees, agents and affiliates may have interests in the securities or investments covered herein and accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or consequence whatsoever (whether direct or indirect) resulting from any use of or reliance by you on such materials.

Subscribe to KGI Market Insights Reports
Outperform market and make the best investment decisions