KGI Asia Commentary

2023.05.08 09:00

HSI rose 101 points on Friday

The Hang Seng Index opened 112 points higher last Friday, opening at 20,061 points, and rose 101 points or 0.5% to 20,049 points throughout the day; the China Enterprises Index rose 79 points or 1.2% to 6,798 points; the Hang Seng Technology Index rose 40 points or 1%, at 3,896 points. The market turnover was HK$ 98.3 bn. Mainland banking stocks continued to perform well last Friday, Bank of China (3988) and Agricultural Bank of China (1288) both rose nearly 1%. As for technology stocks, NIO (9866) and Xpeng Motors (9868) both rose nearly 4%.

Regional bank stocks stopped falling and rebounded, non-farm payrolls beat expectations

Last Friday, U.S. stocks closed higher. The Dow Jones index rose 547 points, or 1.7%, to 33,674 points; the Nasdaq index rose 269 points, or 2.3%, to 12,235 points; the S&P 500 index rose 75 points, an increase of 1.9 percent to 4,136 points. Bank stocks in the U.S. region stopped falling and rebounded. After Apple (AAPL) announced its results, its stock price rose 4.7%.

On the economic data front, non-farm payrolls at 253,000 in April beat expectation and the unemployment rate also fell to 3.4%, which was lower than expected and the previous value, thus reducing market expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates. Short-dated Treasury yields, which are most sensitive to changes in the Fed's policy rate, rose the most. The 2-year yield rose as much as 15 basis points at one point. The 10-year Treasury yield rose nearly 6 basis points.

The Chinese State Council passed the accelerated promotion of new energy vehicles to the countryside

During the executive meeting of the Chinese State Council chaired by Chinese Premier Li Qiang, passed on accelerating the development of advanced manufacturing. The first industry benefit from the proposal is the new energy vehicle industry, pointing out that it will speed up the construction of charging infrastructure and support the development of new energy vehicles in the countryside. The meeting also pointed out that enterprises need to be guided to expand sales and service networks, it is also recommended that educational institutions train maintenance technicians in rural areas to promote the healthy development of the rural new energy vehicle market.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net outflow of HK$ 980 million on Friday, of which Bank of China (3988) had the largest net inflow of HK$540 million, followed by Meituan (3690). China Construction Bank (939) recorded the largest net outflow of HK$1.23 billion, followed by Tracker Fund (2800).

Recommended Stocks
Capture the moment and trade with KGI Asia's insights
Stocks
Recommended
Stocks
Recommended

BYD announced that its NEV sales volume grew 91.8% to 762k units over the first four months of this year. Despite the price cut of the industry, BYD’s sales was better than expected, as it has a competitive brand and price positioning. At the same time, the gross profit margin has increased due to the decline in lithium prices. The GPM of BYD was at 17.9% in 1Q23, an increase of 5 percentage points compared to 1Q22. Looking ahead, the drop in lithium prices may lead to further improvement in gross profit in the second quarter, and the launch of BYD's new car models can further improve the product mix. The sales target of BYD for this year is 3 million vehicles, including overseas and mainland markets. Based on last year's overall sales volume of approximately 1.868 million vehicles, it is expected to increase by more than 60% year-on-year. Although the price war is the market concern, BYD's quarterly results and the customer feedback of the Shanghai Auto Show reflect that BYD is able to stand out from the crowd with its own strategy. Target price: $285; Stop- Loss price: $210.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

The materials contained herein are provided by KGI Asia Limited ("KGI") for information only. While such materials are based on or derived from sources believed to be reliable, KGI makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to their accuracy or reliability. Neither the information nor the opinions expressed herein constitute, or are to be construed as, an offer or invitation or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investments. KGI and its officers, employees, agents and affiliates may have interests in the securities or investments covered herein and accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or consequence whatsoever (whether direct or indirect) resulting from any use of or reliance by you on such materials.