KGI Asia Commentary

2024.01.12 09:00

HSI rose 204 points on Thursday

The Hang Seng Index rose 204 points or 1.3% to 16,302 on Thursday. HSTECH rose 74 points or 2.2% to 3,503 and HSCEI rose 73 points or 1.4% to 5,494. Daily market turnover was HK$93.7bn.

 

Stocks flat to down after CPI data

U.S. stocks closed nearly flat on Thursday as data showed that the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) in December was higher than market expectations, raising doubts about whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates as soon as some investors expect. The Nasdaq closed flat at 14,970.19. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose slightly by 15.29 points to close at 37,711.02 points, an increase of 0.04%. The S&P 500 index fell slightly by 0.07% to close at 4,780.24 points. For the first time since 2021, Microsoft has surpassed Apple and become the world's most valuable company. On Thursday, the Bitcoin ETF rose on its first day of trading, with cryptocurrency prices also rising slightly. Earlier on Thursday, Bitcoin briefly touched the $49,000 mark before falling to over $46,000. This comes after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Wednesday approved rule changes that open the door for bitcoin exchange-traded funds and the flagship crypto.

 

Consumer prices rose 0.3% in December, higher than expected

Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December was slightly higher than expected, with the CPI rising 0.3% for the month, pushing the annualized inflation rate to 3.4%. Economists had previously expected the CPI to increase by 0.2% mom in December and 3.2% yoy. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, so-called core CPI fell to 3.9% in December from 4% in November, but was above expectations of 3.8%. Core CPI rose 0.3% mom, in line with expectations. The main reason for the increase is rising housing costs. The category rose 0.5% in December, accounting for more than half of the increase in core CPI.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK$5.42bn on Thursday, of which CCB (939) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.14bn; followed by Kuaishou (1024). Tracker Fund (2800) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$4.41bn, followed by HSCEI ETF (2828).

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Operating revenue of China Mobile was RMB775.6bn, up by 7.2% yoy; of which, revenue from telecommunications services was RMB664.6bn, up by 7.2% yoy. EBITDA was RMB268.5bn, up by 6.7% yoy. As of November, the total number of mobile business customers was 990.9mn, with a net increase of 171,000 customers during the month, and a cumulative net increase of 15.9mn customers this year. The number of 5G package customers was 779mn, with a net increase of 20mn in November. In the first three quarters of the year, DICT revenue grew by 26.4% yoy to RMB86.6bn. With a continuously rising share of revenue contribution from digital transformation, the revenue structure of China Mobile has become more balanced and robust, and the momentum of sustainable growth has been enhanced. Having a moderate growth in capital expenditure, its net profit margin is expected to rise steadily. China Mobile is a pick with high growth visibility and attractive dividends. Target price: $74; Stop- Loss price: $56.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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