Daily Investment Strategy

2023.07.13 09:00

HSI rose 201 points on Wednesday

The Hang Seng Index rose 201 points or 1.1% to 18,860 on Wednesday. HSTECH rose 78 points or 2.0% to 4,081 and HSCEI rose 82 points or 1.3% to 6,377. Daily market turnover was HK$83.8bn.

 

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close at highest level since April 2022, boosted by cooler-than-expected inflation

U.S. stocks rallied on Wednesday as CPI fell short of expectations in June, easing fears that the Federal Reserve could drag the economy into recession. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.25%, or 86 points, the Nasdaq was up 1.2%, and the S&P 500 was up 0.74%. The consumer price index rose 0.2% in June after inching up 0.1% in May, and also slowed to 3% on an annualized basis from 4%, the slowest pace of price pressures since March 2021. While many still expect the Fed to resume raising interest rates later this month, future hikes would be less likely if incoming economic data showed a further slowdown in inflation. Economic data in the coming months includes employment figures due in July, followed by employment and inflation figures due in August. Big tech stocks shrugged off their recent slump, with shares of Google, Microsoft and the Meta platform gaining ground as U.S. Treasury yields fell sharply on bets the Fed is nearing an end to raising interest rates.

 

Inflation rose just 0.2% in June, below expectations

The consumer price index rose 0.2% in June and was up 3% from a year earlier, the lowest level since March 2021. After deducting food and energy, the core CPI rose 0.2% and 4.8%, respectively. Small increases in food prices and falls in used car and airline prices helped keep inflation in check, while shelter prices continued to rise. The shelter index rose 0.4% last month and was up 7.8% on an annual basis. Markets are now pricing in about a 92 percent chance the Fed will raise rates at its July meeting, according to the CME's FedWatch tool.

 

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net outflow of HK$0.07bn on Thursday, of which CNOOC (883) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.20bn; followed by Tencent (700). CCB (939) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.23bn, followed by BYD (1211).

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Kuaishou’s revenue in 1Q23 was RMB25.217bn, an increase of 19.7% yoy. The loss narrowed to RMB876mn, compared with a loss of RMB6.2bn in the same period last year. The Group recorded positive adjusted profit for the first time since listing. Under non-IFRS, the company's adjusted profit in the first quarter was RMB42mn, compared with a loss of RMB3.7bn in the same period last year. The adjusted EBITDA was RMB1.9bn, compared with a loss of RMB1.55bn in the same period last year, representing a significant breakthrough in its profitability, driven by new records in user metrics, revenues growth and efforts in operating efficiency improvement.In summary, both Kuaishou’s 1Q23 revenue and profit beat expectations, benefiting from the better monetization capabilities of the e-commerce platforms and effective cost control. All business segments have seen revenue growth, and we expect the positive factors to continue for the rest of the year. Target price: $66; Stop- Loss price: $52.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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