KGI Asia Commentary

2024.01.17 09:00

Hang Seng Index fell 350 points on Tuesday

The Hang Seng Index fell 350 points or 2.16% to 15,866 on Tuesday. HSTECH fell 78 points or 2.3% to 3,326 and HSCEI fell 103 points or 1.9% to 5,343. Daily market turnover was HK$84.4bn.

On Tuesday, Dow closes more than 200 points lower after the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield exceeded 4%

 

The Dow closed lower on Tuesday as investors digested a raft of earnings reports and a jump in U.S. Treasury yields. The Dow Jones index fell 231.86 points, or 0.62%, to close at 37,361.12 points. The S&P 500 fell 0.37% to close at 4,765.98 points, and the Nasdaq fell 0.19% to close at 14,944.35 points. Boeing shares fell about 7.9% after Wells Fargo downgraded the company from overweight to wait-and-see as problems with the Boeing 737 Max 9 model persisted. Meanwhile, AMD shares rose 8.3% on upbeat analysts' comments on semiconductor demand. The chipmaker is trying to catch up with Nvidia in the artificial intelligence race, with shares rising to a new 52-week high ahead of reporting quarterly results on January 30. Goldman Sachs rose nearly 1% after reporting better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, as equity sales and trading helped offset weakness at the Wall Street giant's core investment banking unit. Morgan Stanley reported mixed fourth-quarter results, with earnings falling short of analysts' expectations. The company's shares fell 4.2%.

 

Fed Chairman Waller says there is no rush to cut interest rates

 

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed more than 11 basis points to above 4% after Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said in a speech that the central bank may ease monetary policy more slowly than Wall Street expected. As long as the labor market and economic activity are solid, Waller said, “I see no reason to move as quickly or cut as rapidly” as in previous rate-cutting cycles. “When the time is right to begin lowering rates, I believe it can and should be lowered methodically and carefully.”  

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK$2.94bn on Tuesday, of which China Mobile (941) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.46bn; followed by Wuxi Bio (2269). Hkex (388) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.17bn, followed by Li Auto (2015). 

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Air China's ASK in FY23 increased by 156.6% yoy; with domestic routes and international routes increased by 121.2% and 916.7% respectively. RPK increased by 195.8% yoy, with domestic routes and international routes increasing by 155% and 1,455.5% respectively. During the year, AFTK increased by 13.4% yoy; RFTK fell by 13.9% yoy, with international routes fell by 35.3%. Cargo load factor was 31.3%, down 9.9 ppt year-on-year. As the long holiday approaches, the domestic market is expected to continue to recover, while international flight capacity continues to improve, will be catalyst for the mainland airline industry. Target price: $6; Stop- Loss price: $4.38.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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