Daily Investment Strategy

2024.09.10 10:00

Hang Seng Index fell 247 points on Monday

The Hang Seng Index closed at 17,196 points for the day, fell 247 points or 1.4%. The Hang Seng Technology Index reported at 3,436 points, down 51 points or 1.5%. The HSCEI Index fell 102 points, or 1.7%, to 6,002 points. The market turnover was HK$133.6billion.

 

S&P 500 rebounds from last week's plunge

The S&P 500 jumped on Monday, rebounding from its biggest weekly loss since 2023, as investors digested Apple's new artificial intelligence-enhanced iPhones and looked ahead to this week's inflation data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 484.18 points, or 1.2%, to close at 40,829.59 points. The index fell more than 1,200 points last week before stocks rebounded. The S&P 500 rose 1.16% to close at 5,471.05 points. The Nasdaq rose 1.16% to close at 16,884.60 points. Apple ended little changed, as the tech giant struggled to join the rally in tech stocks even as it unveiled new iPhones and showcased its generative artificial intelligence software, Apple Intelligence. Boeing shares rose more than 3% after tentatively agreeing to give its largest union a 25% wage increase, potentially averting a damaging strike that could have further hurt the troubled planemaker. pressure. S&P Global announced on Friday that Palantir Technologies and Dell Technologies will join the S&P 500 before the market opens on September 23, replacing American Airlines and Etsy. Both companies surged on Monday.

 

Inflation data is coming soon

Inflation data, including the CPI and PPI for August, will be released on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. The two latest inflation data are the last important economic data before the Fed's meeting on September 18. According to the CME Group's Fedwatch Tool, investors bet on a 25 bps rate cut at 70%, meanwhile, the probability of a 50 bps rate cut is currently at 30%.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inlow of HK5.82bn on Monday of which Tracker Fund (2800) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$6.01bn; followed by Kuaishou (1024). Tencent (700) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$1.15bn, followed by Meituan (3690).

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In terms of economic data, non-farm payroll data, which the market has been most concerned about recently, was released last Friday. However, this data performance was lower than market expectations and the previous value was significantly lowered. The latest non-farm payroll figures in August were 142,000, and the market expected 161,000; the number of new jobs in June was revised down by 61,000, from 179,000 to 118,000, and the July data was revised down by 25000, revised down from 114,000 to 89,000. Non-farm payrolls data in August was weaker than expected, raising market concerns about the economic outlook. Meanwhile, the market softness in both A-share and HK market can be further explained by the poor economic data and also the continuous negative impact brought by the sluggish property market. Investors will pay attention to the FAI, retail sales and industrial production data to be released this coming Saturday. Furthermore, the U.S. presidential election will be held in November this year, and both parties (Democrats and Republicans) are expected to leverage the "anti-China concept". Overall, the bearish sentiment is likely to persist. Investors may consider deploying inverse ETFs (such as 7300.HK) to hedge their risk exposure.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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