KGI Asia Commentary

2023.02.23 09:00

Hang Seng Index fell 105 points on Wednesday

The Hang Seng Index fell 105 points or 0.5% to 20,423 on Wednesday. HSTECH fell 57 points or 1.4% to 4,100 and HSCEI fell 92 points or 1.3% to 6,832. Daily market turnover was HK$114.6bn.

 

S&P 500 falls for fourth straight day

U.S. stocks ended lower on Wednesday, as the minutes of the Federal Reserve's February meeting increased expectations for further rate hikes to curb inflation. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 84.50 points, or 0.26%, to end at 33,045.09. The S&P 500 fell 0.16% to close at 3,991.05. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.13% to close at 11,507.07. Fed officials said at their latest meeting that there were signs that inflation was falling, but not enough to offset the need for further rate hikes, according to the minutes of the meeting released on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the picture on earnings has been mixed, with retailers continuing to be in the spotlight for investors. TJX Companies reported fourth-quarter earnings in line with expectations, with revenue topping estimates but guidance that fell short of Wall Street expectations, sending its shares down nearly 2%. In other news, chipmaker Intel Corp on Wednesday said it would cut its quarterly dividend by more than 65% to 12.5 cents from 36.5 cents, sending its shares lower. Earlier, the company implemented a wide range of cost-cutting measures.

 

Fed minutes reiterate hawkish stance on inflation

The Fed’s meeting minutes showed inflation remained “well above” the central bank’s 2% target, adding that the labor market is still “very tight, contributing to continuing upward pressures on wages and prices. “Participants noted that inflation data received over the past three months showed a welcome reduction in the monthly pace of price increases but stressed that substantially more evidence of progress across a broader range of prices would be required to be confident that inflation was on a sustained downward path,” the minutes said. The summary of the meeting reiterated that members believed that “ongoing” rate hikes will be necessary. The release of the minutes came after St. Louis Fed President James Bullard warned on Wednesday that the Fed's fight against inflation was far from over.

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK$0.73bn on Wednesday, of which HSCEI ETF (2828) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.30bn; followed by Great Wall Motor (2333). HKEX (388) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.16bn, followed by China Mobile (941).

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Hua Hong Semiconductor achieved 19.3% yoy revenue growth in 4Q22, and flat qoq even in traditional low season. Gross profit margin continued to increase and increased by 1 percentage point on a quarterly basis, to 38.2%, mainly due to the ASP increases. Revenue from discrete was US$213.0 million, an increase of 21.3% yoy, mainly due to increased demand for IGBT and super junction products.  Intensified Sino-US friction continues to encourage Chinese customers to increase foundry placements at Chinese foundries, including Hua Hong. As for the capacity utilization rate, Hua Hong maintains a capacity utilization rate of 103.2% for over-capacity production. The group stated that in 2023 12-inch capacity target will increase from 65,000 pieces per month to 95,000 pieces per month, an increase of cc. 15.3%. It also pointed out that the construction of the new plant will be initiate in due course. Currently, Hua Hong's production capacity utilization rate is at full capacity. Short-term performance maybe potentially affected by the bottleneck. But, in the long-run, there is room for revenue growth driven by the increase in production capacity and ASP. Target price: $40; Stop- Loss price: $29.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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