KGI Asia Commentary

2023.10.25 09:00

Hang Seng Index fell 180 points on Tuesday

The Hang Seng Index fell 180 points or 1.1% to 16,991 on Tuesday. HSTECH fell 39 points or 1.1% to 3,622 and HSCEI fell 72 points or 1.2% to 5,799. Daily market turnover was HK$89.9bn.

 

Dow closes higher, corporate earnings beat expectations

The Dow closed higher on Tuesday, as a series of better-than-expected corporate earnings and solid U.S. Treasury yields boosted sentiment ahead of earnings reports from major technology companies. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 204 points, or 0.6%; the Nasdaq rose 0.9%; and the S&P 500 rose 0.7%. Technology stocks extended gains from the previous day as investors looked ahead to quarterly results from Microsoft and Google after the close. Coca-Cola Co. shares rose nearly 3% after the company reported better-than-expected quarterly results and raised its annual outlook. General Electric Co. also raised its full-year forecast, with the company's profit and revenue beating Wall Street expectations. The group also said it plans to spin off its renewable energy business GE Vernova in the second quarter of next year. 3M Co. sidestepped recent legal troubles and reported a third-quarter report that beat analysts' expectations, sending its shares up more than 5%.

 

Corporate and economic data remain resilient

About 23% of companies in the S&P 500 have reported results, with 77% of them beating analyst expectations, according to FactSet. Meanwhile, U.S. private sector economic activity continued to expand modestly in early October, with the S&P Global Composite PMI rising to 51 from 50.2 in September. The manufacturing PMI rose slightly to 50 from 49.8 in the same period, and the services PMI rose to 50.9 from 50.1. Both figures were higher than analysts' expectations.

 

Hong Kong Stock Connect had a net inflow of HK$2.32bn on Tuesday, of which Meituan (3690) had the largest net inflow, reaching HK$0.75bn; followed by SMIC (981). Tracker Fund (2800) recorded the largest net outflow at HK$0.99bn, followed by CSOP HS TECH (3033).

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The revenue of Topsports increased by 7.25% to RMB14.1bn in 1H23. The GPM decreased by 0.9ppts yoy to 44.7%. The positive contribution brought by yoy narrowed retail discount rate offering and higher revenue mix of the retail business were offset by moderated special subsidies offered by brand partners which the Group benefitted during the pandemic, but were rationally alleviated as the market condition recovered post-pandemic. Although GPM fell by 0.9ppts to 44.7%, its NPM increased by 0.7ppts to 9.4% due to improvements in operating cost control. The profit attributable to shareholders was RMB1.3bn, increased 16.7% yoy. Meanwhile, interim dividend amounted to RMB16 cents, an increase of 23% compared with the same period last year, and the dividend payout ratio also increased from 70.3% to 74.2% during the period. Overall, Topsports's inventory days, cash flow and profitability have been improved. Target price: $7.6; Stop- Loss price: $5.66.

Wen Kit Kenny is a SFC licensed person accredited to KGI Group to carry on regulated activities (for details, please refer to:https://apps.sfc.hk/publicregWeb/indi/AJF244/details). He and/or his associate do not have any financial interest in the recommended issuer or new listing applicant.

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